Stock Analysis

Bird Construction Inc. (TSE:BDT) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To CA$18.50

TSX:BDT
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Bird Construction Inc. (TSE:BDT) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. The company beat expectations with revenues of CA$2.8b arriving 2.4% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were CA$1.33, 2.7% ahead of estimates. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Bird Construction

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TSX:BDT Earnings and Revenue Growth March 7th 2024

After the latest results, the seven analysts covering Bird Construction are now predicting revenues of CA$3.06b in 2024. If met, this would reflect a meaningful 9.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to bounce 36% to CA$1.81. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CA$3.00b and earnings per share (EPS) of CA$1.71 in 2024. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Bird Construction 6.9% to CA$18.50on the back of these upgrades. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Bird Construction, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CA$22.00 and the most bearish at CA$15.00 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Bird Construction's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 9.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 1.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Bird Construction's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Bird Construction's earnings potential next year. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Bird Construction going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Bird Construction that you need to be mindful of.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bird Construction might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.