Stock Analysis

Terra Firma Capital (CVE:TII) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.05

TSXV:TII
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The board of Terra Firma Capital Corporation (CVE:TII) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of October, with investors receiving CA$0.05 per share. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 3.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Terra Firma Capital

Terra Firma Capital's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Terra Firma Capital's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 4.0% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could be 37%, which we are pretty comfortable with and we think is feasible on an earnings basis.

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TSXV:TII Historic Dividend August 21st 2021

Terra Firma Capital Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

Looking back, the dividend has been stable, but the company hasn't been paying a dividend for very long so we can't be confident that the dividend will remain stable through all economic environments. Since 2019, the first annual payment was US$0.14, compared to the most recent full-year payment of US$0.16. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 4.3% over that duration. Terra Firma Capital hasn't been paying a dividend for very long, so we wouldn't get to excited about its record of growth just yet.

Terra Firma Capital May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. In the last five years, Terra Firma Capital's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 4.0% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed.

Our Thoughts On Terra Firma Capital's Dividend

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Terra Firma Capital that you should be aware of before investing. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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