Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CM (CA$78.76) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CA$138.78)

Is CM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CM (CA$78.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$138.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for CM. This is calculated by dividing CM's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is CM's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CA$74.39b

CM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.8x
BMO Bank of Montreal	13x	11.6%	CA$82.2b
BNS Bank of Nova Scotia	11.8x	9.1%	CA$83.2b
NA National Bank of Canada	12x	1.5%	CA$42.0b
TD Toronto-Dominion Bank	18.4x	17.8%	CA$141.2b
CM Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce	11.5x	3.3%	CA$74.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Banks Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	8.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	8.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the North American Banks industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	11.5x
Fair PE Ratio	12x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CA$78.76	CA$79.65 +1.1%	8.5%	CA$91.00	CA$68.34	n/a	17
Aug ’25	CA$70.09	CA$72.20 +3.0%	6.8%	CA$79.00	CA$57.00	n/a	17
Jul ’25	CA$65.05	CA$71.97 +10.6%	7.6%	CA$79.00	CA$57.00	n/a	16
Jun ’25	CA$67.58	CA$71.16 +5.3%	8.0%	CA$78.00	CA$57.00	n/a	17
May ’25	CA$64.51	CA$67.99 +5.4%	8.5%	CA$76.00	CA$50.00	n/a	17
Apr ’25	CA$68.32	CA$67.63 -1.0%	8.3%	CA$76.00	CA$50.00	n/a	17
Mar ’25	CA$65.77	CA$66.83 +1.6%	8.2%	CA$76.00	CA$50.00	n/a	15
Feb ’25	CA$61.05	CA$62.89 +3.0%	7.4%	CA$71.00	CA$50.00	n/a	14
Jan ’25	CA$63.80	CA$61.93 -2.9%	8.3%	CA$71.00	CA$50.00	n/a	14
Dec ’24	CA$56.55	CA$60.74 +7.4%	8.2%	CA$69.38	CA$50.00	n/a	14
Nov ’24	CA$49.22	CA$61.24 +24.4%	8.7%	CA$69.38	CA$48.00	n/a	14
Oct ’24	CA$52.43	CA$61.53 +17.4%	8.1%	CA$69.38	CA$48.00	n/a	14
Sep ’24	CA$54.16	CA$60.96 +12.6%	8.3%	CA$69.38	CA$48.00	CA$78.76	16
Aug ’24	CA$57.24	CA$63.61 +11.1%	8.2%	CA$72.00	CA$48.00	CA$70.09	17
Jul ’24	CA$56.56	CA$63.74 +12.7%	8.5%	CA$72.00	CA$48.00	CA$65.05	17
Jun ’24	CA$55.42	CA$64.01 +15.5%	9.2%	CA$73.83	CA$48.00	CA$67.58	17
May ’24	CA$56.54	CA$65.54 +15.9%	8.3%	CA$73.83	CA$48.00	CA$64.51	17
Apr ’24	CA$57.31	CA$65.54 +14.4%	8.3%	CA$73.83	CA$48.00	CA$68.32	17
Mar ’24	CA$62.44	CA$65.53 +4.9%	8.3%	CA$74.43	CA$48.00	CA$65.77	17
Feb ’24	CA$61.08	CA$64.70 +5.9%	9.6%	CA$74.43	CA$46.00	CA$61.05	17
Jan ’24	CA$54.77	CA$64.70 +18.1%	9.6%	CA$74.43	CA$46.00	CA$63.80	17
Dec ’23	CA$59.81	CA$70.82 +18.4%	9.7%	CA$80.87	CA$52.00	CA$56.55	17
Nov ’23	CA$61.82	CA$75.14 +21.5%	8.4%	CA$84.00	CA$55.00	CA$49.22	17
Oct ’23	CA$60.46	CA$76.14 +25.9%	5.2%	CA$84.00	CA$69.00	CA$52.43	17
Sep ’23	CA$61.38	CA$75.97 +23.8%	5.4%	CA$84.00	CA$69.00	CA$54.16	16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.