Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Serena Energia S.A. (BVMF:SRNA3) Revenues

Shareholders in Serena Energia S.A. (BVMF:SRNA3) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects. Investors have been pretty optimistic on Serena Energia too, with the stock up 13% to R$7.93 over the past week. We'll be curious to see if these new estimates convince the market to lift the stock price higher still.

Following the latest upgrade, the current consensus, from the seven analysts covering Serena Energia, is for revenues of R$2.8b in 2025, which would reflect a considerable 19% reduction in Serena Energia's sales over the past 12 months. Prior to the latest estimates, the analysts were forecasting revenues of R$2.8b in 2025. From what we can see, it looks like Serena Energia is performing in line with analyst expectations. The the analysts we track have all updated their numbers, and there were no major changes to their forecasts for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Serena Energia

We'd point out that there was no major changes to their price target of R$12.52, suggesting the latest estimates were not enough to shift their view on the value of the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 16% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 31% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 6.5% per year. It's pretty clear that Serena Energia's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts reconfirmed their revenue estimates for next year, suggesting that the business is performing in line with market expectations. They also expect company revenue to perform worse than the wider market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Serena Energia.

Need some more information? We have analyst estimates for Serena Energia going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.