Stock Analysis

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Serena Energia S.A. (BVMF:SRNA3) Are Surging Higher

BOVESPA:SRNA3
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Serena Energia S.A. (BVMF:SRNA3) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The analysts have sharply increased their revenue numbers, with a view that Serena Energia will make substantially more sales than they'd previously expected.

Following the latest upgrade, the five analysts covering Serena Energia provided consensus estimates of R$2.8b revenue in 2024, which would reflect a definite 11% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 51% to R$0.68. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of R$2.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$0.65 in 2024. The forecasts seem more optimistic now, with a substantial gain in revenue and a slight bump in earnings per share estimates.

See our latest analysis for Serena Energia

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BOVESPA:SRNA3 Earnings and Revenue Growth July 23rd 2024

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 14% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 29% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 0.3% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Serena Energia is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. Pleasantly, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow slower than the wider market. Seeing the dramatic upgrade to this year's forecasts, it might be time to take another look at Serena Energia.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Serena Energia going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.