Stock Analysis

Can You Imagine How Jubilant Eneva's (BVMF:ENEV3) Shareholders Feel About Its 253% Share Price Gain?

BOVESPA:ENEV3
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It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. To wit, the Eneva S.A. (BVMF:ENEV3) share price has flown 253% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 43% gain in the last three months. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 29% in 90 days).

View our latest analysis for Eneva

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, Eneva moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
BOVESPA:ENEV3 Earnings Per Share Growth August 6th 2020

It is of course excellent to see how Eneva has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Eneva's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Eneva's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Eneva shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 253%, over the last 3 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Eneva shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 88% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 25% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Eneva (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

We will like Eneva better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on BR exchanges.

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