Stock Analysis

Auren Energia (BVMF:AURE3) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

BOVESPA:AURE3
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Auren Energia (BVMF:AURE3), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Auren Energia:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.023 = R$637m ÷ (R$31b - R$4.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

Thus, Auren Energia has an ROCE of 2.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Renewable Energy industry average of 5.3%.

Check out our latest analysis for Auren Energia

roce
BOVESPA:AURE3 Return on Capital Employed January 15th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Auren Energia compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Auren Energia.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Auren Energia, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 4.9% over the last four years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

In Conclusion...

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Auren Energia is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 8.3% over the last year, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

Auren Energia does come with some risks though, we found 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is significant...

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.