Stock Analysis

Does Alupar Investimento (BVMF:ALUP11) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:ALUP11
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Alupar Investimento S.A. (BVMF:ALUP11) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Alupar Investimento

What Is Alupar Investimento's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Alupar Investimento had R$12.3b of debt, up from R$11.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had R$2.46b in cash, and so its net debt is R$9.81b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:ALUP11 Debt to Equity History March 1st 2025

How Strong Is Alupar Investimento's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Alupar Investimento had liabilities of R$3.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$14.9b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$2.46b as well as receivables valued at R$2.55b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$13.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of R$8.94b, we think shareholders really should watch Alupar Investimento's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Alupar Investimento has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.0 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that Alupar Investimento grew its EBIT at 16% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alupar Investimento can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Alupar Investimento recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Alupar Investimento's struggle to handle its total liabilities had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was re-invigorating. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Alupar Investimento commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Alupar Investimento is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Alupar Investimento is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About BOVESPA:ALUP11

Alupar Investimento

Through its subsidiaries, engages in the transmission, generation, and development of electricity business in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru.

Good value with proven track record.