Stock Analysis

Is Santos Brasil Participações (BVMF:STBP3) A Risky Investment?

BOVESPA:STBP3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Santos Brasil Participações S.A. (BVMF:STBP3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Santos Brasil Participações

What Is Santos Brasil Participações's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Santos Brasil Participações had R$537.7m of debt, an increase on R$297.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$309.2m, its net debt is less, at about R$228.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:STBP3 Debt to Equity History August 18th 2024

How Healthy Is Santos Brasil Participações' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Santos Brasil Participações had liabilities of R$777.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$1.74b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$309.2m as well as receivables valued at R$395.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$1.82b.

Given Santos Brasil Participações has a market capitalization of R$12.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 0.20 times EBITDA, Santos Brasil Participações is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.7 times the interest expense over the last year. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Santos Brasil Participações has boosted its EBIT by 99%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Santos Brasil Participações can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Santos Brasil Participações recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Santos Brasil Participações's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. We would also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Santos Brasil Participações commonly do use debt without problems. Zooming out, Santos Brasil Participações seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Santos Brasil Participações , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.