Stock Analysis

Is EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística (BVMF:ECOR3) Using Too Much Debt?

BOVESPA:ECOR3
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística S.A. (BVMF:ECOR3) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística

What Is EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2022 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística had R$10.0b of debt, an increase on R$9.25b, over one year. On the flip side, it has R$1.14b in cash leading to net debt of about R$8.88b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:ECOR3 Debt to Equity History August 5th 2022

A Look At EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística had liabilities of R$2.41b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$11.2b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$1.14b as well as receivables valued at R$450.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$12.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$4.28b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's debt is 4.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.3 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Mulling over EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's attempt at staying on top of its total liabilities, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.