Stock Analysis

EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística (BVMF:ECOR3) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística S.A. (BVMF:ECOR3) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística

What Is EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística had R$19.2b of debt, an increase on R$14.2b, over one year. However, it does have R$4.54b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$14.7b.

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BOVESPA:ECOR3 Debt to Equity History August 23rd 2024

A Look At EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística had liabilities of R$4.50b due within a year, and liabilities of R$19.8b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$4.54b as well as receivables valued at R$818.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$18.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the R$5.13b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.6 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Looking on the bright side, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística boosted its EBIT by a silky 48% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EcoRodovias Infraestrutura e Logística might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.