Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that CCR S.A. (BVMF:CCRO3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for CCR
How Much Debt Does CCR Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2024, CCR had R$34.0b of debt, up from R$30.9b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$6.39b, its net debt is less, at about R$27.6b.
A Look At CCR's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, CCR had liabilities of R$6.13b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$39.0b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$6.39b in cash and R$2.74b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$36.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$23.2b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, CCR would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While CCR's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.1) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.7, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Another concern for investors might be that CCR's EBIT fell 15% in the last year. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CCR's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, CCR's free cash flow amounted to 27% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
To be frank both CCR's interest cover and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like CCR commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think CCR has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with CCR (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:CCRO3
CCR
Engages in the provision of infrastructure services for highway concessions, urban mobility, and airports in Brazil.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.
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