Stock Analysis

Did You Participate In Any Of Sinqia's (BVMF:SQIA3) Incredible 919% Return?

BOVESPA:SQIA3
Source: Shutterstock

Buying shares in the best businesses can build meaningful wealth for you and your family. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. Don't believe it? Then look at the Sinqia S.A. (BVMF:SQIA3) share price. It's 887% higher than it was five years ago. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. We note the stock price is up 4.3% in the last seven days.

Anyone who held for that rewarding ride would probably be keen to talk about it.

See our latest analysis for Sinqia

We don't think that Sinqia's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

In the last 5 years Sinqia saw its revenue grow at 20% per year. That's well above most pre-profit companies. Arguably, this is well and truly reflected in the strong share price gain of 58%(per year) over the same period. It's never too late to start following a top notch stock like Sinqia, since some long term winners go on winning for decades. So we'd recommend you take a closer look at this one, but keep in mind the market seems optimistic.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:SQIA3 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 21st 2020

We know that Sinqia has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Sinqia will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Sinqia's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Sinqia's TSR of 919% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 5.3% in the last year, Sinqia shareholders lost 2.0%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 59% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. You might want to assess this data-rich visualization of its earnings, revenue and cash flow.

But note: Sinqia may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on BR exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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