Stock Analysis

Be Wary Of Via (BVMF:VIIA3) And Its Returns On Capital

BOVESPA:BHIA3
Source: Shutterstock

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Via (BVMF:VIIA3), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Via, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.077 = R$1.2b ÷ (R$36b - R$20b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

So, Via has an ROCE of 7.7%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.2%, it's still a low return by itself.

View our latest analysis for Via

roce
BOVESPA:VIIA3 Return on Capital Employed May 23rd 2023

In the above chart we have measured Via's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Via here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Via

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by cash flow.
Weakness
  • Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
Opportunity
  • Forecast to reduce losses next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for VIIA3.

So How Is Via's ROCE Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Via, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 26% over the last five years. However it looks like Via might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Via has decreased its current liabilities to 56% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 56% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.

In Conclusion...

To conclude, we've found that Via is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has declined 64% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Via has the makings of a multi-bagger.

If you want to know some of the risks facing Via we've found 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.