Stock Analysis

Vibra Energia S.A.'s (BVMF:VBBR3) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

BOVESPA:VBBR3
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It's not a stretch to say that Vibra Energia S.A.'s (BVMF:VBBR3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Brazil, where the median P/E ratio is around 12x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Recent earnings growth for Vibra Energia has been in line with the market. It seems that many are expecting the mediocre earnings performance to persist, which has held the P/E back. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.

See our latest analysis for Vibra Energia

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:VBBR3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 23rd 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Vibra Energia.

How Is Vibra Energia's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vibra Energia would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 149% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 1.5% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Vibra Energia is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From Vibra Energia's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Vibra Energia currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Vibra Energia.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vibra Energia is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.