Stock Analysis

Is There Now An Opportunity In Grupo SBF S.A. (BVMF:SBFG3)?

BOVESPA:SBFG3
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Grupo SBF S.A. (BVMF:SBFG3), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the BOVESPA, rising to highs of R$31.78 and falling to the lows of R$20.94. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Grupo SBF's current trading price of R$22.51 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Grupo SBF’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Grupo SBF

What's the opportunity in Grupo SBF?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Grupo SBF’s ratio of 24.42x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 25.65x, which means if you buy Grupo SBF today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe Grupo SBF should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price to grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Grupo SBF’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Grupo SBF generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:SBFG3 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 3rd 2022

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Grupo SBF's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 37%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? SBFG3’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at SBFG3? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SBFG3, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for SBFG3, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, Grupo SBF has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If you are no longer interested in Grupo SBF, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.