Grupo SBF's (BVMF:SBFG3) Earnings Offer More Than Meets The Eye

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Grupo SBF S.A. (BVMF:SBFG3) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

View our latest analysis for Grupo SBF

Zooming In On Grupo SBF's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Grupo SBF has an accrual ratio of -0.13 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of R$654m, well over the R$205.5m it reported in profit. Given that Grupo SBF had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of R$654m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Grupo SBF's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, Grupo SBF has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Because of this, we think Grupo SBF's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 8.5% over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Grupo SBF you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Grupo SBF's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.