Raízen S.A.

BOVESPA:RAIZ4 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$2.7b

Raízen Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Raízen's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -78.1%, while the Specialty Retail industry saw earnings growing at 17.2% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 10.7% per year.

Key information

-78.07%

Earnings growth rate

-79.43%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail Industry Growth7.25%
Revenue growth rate10.68%
Return on equityn/a
Net Margin-11.98%
Next Earnings Update12 Aug 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jul 26

RAIZ4: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.24 to R$0.79, citing revised assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations as key drivers of the change in the price target. What’s in the News for Raízen Raízen filed its annual report on Jun 29, 2026 for the period ending Mar 31, 2026, providing updated information on its financial position and operations.
Narrative Update Jul 12

RAIZ4: Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Offset Going Concern Uncertainty

Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target, with the updated fair value estimate shifting from R$2.85 to R$2.21. This reflects refreshed assumptions around revenue growth, profitability and future P/E levels.
Narrative Update Jun 28

RAIZ4: Compressed Growth Assumptions Will Drive Bearish Repricing Ahead

Analysts have adjusted their Raízen price target to reflect updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Together, these factors imply a revised R$ valuation framework for the stock.
Narrative Update Jun 14

RAIZ4: Stable Assumptions And Slightly Lower Risk Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Raízen to R$2.85, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their models. What's in the News No recent company specific news, periodical coverage or key developments were provided in the sources above.
Narrative Update May 30

RAIZ4: Index Removals Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their Raízen price target slightly higher to R$2.85 from R$2.84, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These changes leave their overall view broadly intact, but slightly more constructive on profitability and valuation.
Narrative Update May 14

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Compressed Margins Will Shape Balanced Repricing

Analysts have reduced the Raízen price target from R$0.75 to R$0.50 as they now factor in a lower profit margin, a very high forward P/E of about 18x, and updated assumptions for revenue growth and discount rates. What's in the News Raízen has been dropped from the S&P Global BMI Index, removing the stock from a broad global benchmark that many index funds track (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 29

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$2.84, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. These changes keep their fair value view broadly in line with prior estimates.
Narrative Update Apr 14

RAIZ4: Argentine Asset Sale Prospects Will Drive Future Undervalued Upside

Raízen's updated analyst price target has shifted to reflect changes in estimated fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a higher future P/E assumption. Analysts point to these revised inputs as the key drivers of their refreshed outlook in R$ terms.
Narrative Update Mar 31

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Argentina Asset Sale Prospects Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target to R$1.24 from R$1.58, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a modestly lower fair value estimate, a small change in discount rate, a slightly softer profit margin outlook, and a reduced future P/E of 63.19x versus 80.35x previously. What's in the News Raízen has been dropped from the S&P Global BMI Index, removing the stock from a broad global benchmark followed by many institutional investors (Index constituent change).
Narrative Update Mar 17

RAIZ4: Index Removals And Asset Sale Talks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Raízen to R$1.58 from R$1.83, reflecting updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they see as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News Raízen has been removed from the Brazil IBRX Index, reducing its presence in a broad benchmark followed by local equity investors (index announcement).
Narrative Update Mar 03

RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Future Undervalued Upside

Analysts have trimmed their Raízen price target from R$4.19 to R$3.94, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, with sources indicating negotiations have advanced significantly and a potential deal value expected to exceed US$1b, although no binding agreement has been signed and the deal could still fall through (sources familiar with the talks).
Narrative Update Feb 17

RAIZ4: Potential Argentine Asset Sale Will Support Stronger Long Term Repricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.25 to R$1.75 per share, citing updates to discount rate assumptions, slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, and a lower expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercuria Energy Group is reported to be moving closer to acquiring a refinery and hundreds of fuel retail stations in Argentina from Raízen, although sources say the deal still carries execution risk and may take weeks to sign, if it proceeds at all (Bloomberg, sources familiar with the talks).
Narrative Update Feb 02

RAIZ4: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Raízen from R$1.92 to R$1.83 as updated assumptions for a lower discount rate, higher revenue growth, a much thinner profit margin, and a substantially higher future P/E are reflected in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from R$1.92 to R$1.83 per share.
Narrative Update Jan 19

RAIZ4: Higher Margins And Lower Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their price target on Raízen slightly lower, trimming it by a small amount in currency terms as they factor in modestly higher projected profit margins alongside a slightly reduced future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Model fair value per share is unchanged at 1.91923.
Narrative Update Jan 05

RAIZ4: Higher Revenue Assumptions And P/E Rerating Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Raízen, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth at 80.27% and a future P/E of 2.99. Together, these factors imply a recalibration of expected cash flows and valuation in currency terms.
Narrative Update Dec 15

RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on Raízen slightly, reducing fair value from approximately $1.98 to $1.92. They are factoring in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by a marginally stronger profit margin outlook and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 01

RAIZ4: Exit From Joint Venture Will Drive Renewed Focus And Upside

Raízen’s analyst price target has been modestly adjusted upward to $1.98. Analysts cite incremental changes in profitability and underlying risk assumptions as the key drivers behind the revised valuation.
Narrative Update Nov 17

RAIZ4: Revenue Momentum And Index Shift Will Drive Further Upside

Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Raízen, citing improved revenue growth expectations. However, this is offset by a higher discount rate and marginally lower profit margin forecasts.
Narrative Update Nov 01

RAIZ4: Lower Discount Rate And Asset Reshuffle Will Unlock Future Upside

Analysts have revised Raízen's fair value estimate downward by approximately R$0.18. They cite updated projections for revenue growth and a reduced discount rate in their latest evaluation.
Narrative Update Oct 17

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Raízen to R$2.16 from R$2.20, citing minor adjustments in profit margin and forward price-to-earnings estimates. Overall growth projections remain steady.
Narrative Update Oct 03

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Analysts have revised their price target for Raízen downward from $2.38 to $2.20. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin projections, but also factor in a significantly reduced estimated price-to-earnings ratio for the company's future outlook.
Narrative Update Sep 02

Efficient Operations And Second Generation Ethanol Will Advance Biofuels

Raízen’s fair value estimate has been revised downward, primarily reflecting a moderate contraction in its future P/E multiple while top-line growth expectations remain flat, resulting in a new analyst price target of R$2.40. What's in the News Raízen S.A. added to Brazil Small Cap Index.
Narrative Update Aug 19

Potential Rise In Ethanol Blending Mandates And Efficiency Measures Will Strengthen Future Performance

Despite notable improvements in Raízen's net profit margin and consensus revenue growth forecasts, the consensus Analyst Price Target has been revised downward from R$2.80 to R$2.63. What's in the News Raízen S.A. announced a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting to be held remotely in Brazil.
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New Narrative Dec 13

Operational Efficiency, E2G Expansion, And Refinery Modernization To Drive Profitability Growth In Renewable Energy

Raízen's focus on operational efficiency, increasing E2G production, and asset optimization aims to boost revenue, profitability, and margins significantly.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Raízen makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

BOVESPA:RAIZ4 Revenue, expenses and earnings (BRL Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26225,849-27,0489,0790
31 Dec 25232,247-22,2578,3860
30 Sep 25238,727-9,2938,7960
30 Jun 25251,727-7,1539,3000
31 Mar 25255,268-4,2579,3920
31 Dec 24251,226-2,5999,6600
30 Sep 24242,8467719,2690
30 Jun 24229,3929339,1380
31 Mar 24220,4545218,9920
31 Dec 23221,7373,9938,5340
30 Sep 23223,6143,3888,4470
30 Jun 23228,3962,5278,0540
31 Mar 23245,8322,4417,7890
31 Dec 22244,358967,5550
30 Sep 22239,3791,3087,2400
30 Jun 22223,4812,9006,7940
31 Mar 22191,2703,1495,9880
31 Dec 21164,2793,3404,9280
30 Sep 21133,9882,3534,0120
30 Jun 21107,9042,1303,1230
31 Mar 2189,4159962,8170
31 Dec 2086,4526902,7560
30 Sep 2088,0681,6612,7430
30 Jun 2091,3721,4472,7980
31 Mar 20100,9412,0562,8650
31 Dec 19100,5782,4872,8130
30 Sep 1998,9421,6102,7550
30 Jun 1994,4511,6812,4720
31 Mar 1988,9511,6542,2370
31 Dec 1885,2681,4702,0290
30 Sep 1879,5651,4151,8440
30 Jun 1876,9491,5151,8580
31 Mar 1874,5861,6071,8010
31 Dec 1772,7891,4501,7490
30 Sep 1771,3631,5351,7180
30 Jun 1770,2341,6411,6620
31 Mar 1769,4491,5991,6510
31 Dec 1668,1431,5561,6800
30 Sep 1667,1131,5101,6100
30 Jun 1665,4291,2401,5950
31 Mar 1663,7431,1641,5550
31 Dec 1561,4131,3211,5120
30 Sep 1559,1991,2451,4770

Quality Earnings: RAIZ4 is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: RAIZ4 is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: RAIZ4 is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 78.1% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare RAIZ4's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: RAIZ4 is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Specialty Retail industry (13.8%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: RAIZ4's liabilities exceed its assets, so it is difficult to calculate its Return on Equity.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/30 01:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/29 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Raízen S.A. is covered by 17 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel CobucciBB Banco de Investimento S.A.
Isabella SimonatoBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários