Raízen S.A.

BOVESPA:RAIZ4 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$3.9b

Raízen Valuation

Is RAIZ4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of RAIZ4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: RAIZ4 (R$0.38) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (R$0.01)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: RAIZ4 is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RAIZ4?

Key metric: As RAIZ4 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RAIZ4. This is calculated by dividing RAIZ4's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RAIZ4's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.02x
SalesR$225.85b
Market CapR$3.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RAIZ4's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RAIZ4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
CSAN3 Cosan
0.4x34.60%R$14.7b
UGPA3 Ultrapar Participações
0.2x3.14%R$31.4b
AMOB3 Automob Participações
0.03x8.25%R$438.0m
VBBR3 Vibra Energia
0.2x2.40%R$37.7b
RAIZ4 Raízen
0.02x3.65%R$3.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RAIZ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RAIZ4's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Specialty Retail Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.3x8.6%
RAIZ4 Raízen
0.02x3.65%US$762.60m
RAIZ4 0.0xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.3x20.3%
RAIZ4 Raízen
0.02x151.28%US$762.60m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RAIZ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the South American Specialty Retail industry average (0.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RAIZ4's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RAIZ4 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.02x
Fair PS Ratio0.06x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RAIZ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RAIZ4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$0.38
R$0.79
+108.65%
89.08%R$2.30R$0.14n/a7
Jul ’27R$0.40
R$0.79
+98.22%
89.08%R$2.30R$0.14n/a7
Jun ’27R$0.40
R$1.14
+185.83%
74.44%R$3.00R$0.40n/a9
May ’27R$0.47
R$1.24
+164.07%
64.53%R$3.00R$0.50n/a9
Apr ’27R$0.53
R$1.24
+134.17%
64.53%R$3.00R$0.50n/a9
Mar ’27R$0.63
R$1.73
+175.13%
63.57%R$4.50R$0.65n/a12
Feb ’27R$1.03
R$1.83
+77.37%
57.07%R$4.50R$0.75n/a13
Jan ’27R$0.81
R$1.92
+136.94%
52.42%R$4.50R$0.75n/a13
Dec ’26R$0.84
R$1.98
+136.26%
47.68%R$4.50R$0.75n/a13
Nov ’26R$0.95
R$1.98
+108.91%
47.68%R$4.50R$0.75n/a13
Oct ’26R$1.03
R$2.20
+113.59%
40.37%R$4.50R$1.20n/a13
Sep ’26R$1.24
R$2.40
+93.55%
38.59%R$4.50R$1.25n/a12
Aug ’26R$1.40
R$2.84
+102.75%
29.65%R$4.50R$1.50n/a13
Jul ’26R$1.67
R$3.12
+86.55%
26.82%R$4.50R$1.90R$0.4013
Jun ’26R$1.94
R$3.30
+70.10%
23.83%R$4.50R$1.90R$0.4013
May ’26R$1.81
R$3.65
+101.44%
33.72%R$7.00R$1.90R$0.4713
Apr ’26R$1.87
R$3.45
+84.49%
22.37%R$4.50R$1.90R$0.5312
Mar ’26R$1.65
R$4.09
+147.98%
29.03%R$7.00R$2.40R$0.6312
Feb ’26R$1.90
R$4.25
+123.48%
26.06%R$7.00R$2.40R$1.0313
Jan ’26R$2.16
R$4.79
+121.87%
20.71%R$7.00R$2.90R$0.8113
Dec ’25R$2.64
R$4.98
+88.81%
15.05%R$7.00R$4.40R$0.8413
Nov ’25R$2.85
R$5.14
+80.30%
14.63%R$7.00R$4.40R$0.9513
Oct ’25R$3.11
R$5.19
+66.96%
14.14%R$7.00R$4.40R$1.0313
Sep ’25R$3.21
R$5.31
+65.33%
13.80%R$7.00R$4.40R$1.2414
Aug ’25R$2.97
R$5.41
+82.06%
15.95%R$7.00R$4.00R$1.4014
Jul ’25R$2.98
R$5.63
+88.95%
16.19%R$7.00R$4.40R$1.6713
R$0.79
Fair Value
52.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
7
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 09:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/08 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Raízen S.A. is covered by 17 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel CobucciBB Banco de Investimento S.A.
Isabella SimonatoBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários