Stock Analysis

What Lojas Renner S.A.'s (BVMF:LREN3) P/E Is Not Telling You

BOVESPA:LREN3
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Lojas Renner S.A.'s (BVMF:LREN3) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Brazil, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 11x and even P/E's below 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Lojas Renner's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Lojas Renner

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:LREN3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Lojas Renner will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Lojas Renner's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 23%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 32% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per annum as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Lojas Renner's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Lojas Renner's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Lojas Renner's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Lojas Renner is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lojas Renner, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lojas Renner is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.