Stock Analysis

Here's Why Marisa Lojas (BVMF:AMAR3) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

BOVESPA:AMAR3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Marisa Lojas S.A. (BVMF:AMAR3) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Marisa Lojas

How Much Debt Does Marisa Lojas Carry?

As you can see below, Marisa Lojas had R$883.4m of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has R$293.1m in cash leading to net debt of about R$590.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:AMAR3 Debt to Equity History April 12th 2022

A Look At Marisa Lojas' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Marisa Lojas had liabilities of R$1.43b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$993.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R$293.1m in cash and R$1.11b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's R$763.6m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.47 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.3 hit our confidence in Marisa Lojas like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Marisa Lojas achieved a positive EBIT of R$37m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Marisa Lojas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Marisa Lojas saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Marisa Lojas's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Marisa Lojas has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Marisa Lojas that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.