Stock Analysis

Jereissati Participações (BVMF:JPSA3) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

BOVESPA:IGTI3
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jereissati Participações S.A. (BVMF:JPSA3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jereissati Participações

What Is Jereissati Participações's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Jereissati Participações had debt of R$3.04b, up from R$2.26b in one year. However, it also had R$1.11b in cash, and so its net debt is R$1.93b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:JPSA3 Debt to Equity History January 12th 2021

How Healthy Is Jereissati Participações' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jereissati Participações had liabilities of R$712.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$2.55b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of R$1.11b and R$202.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$1.95b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$2.20b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Jereissati Participações has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Jereissati Participações's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 37% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Jereissati Participações's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jereissati Participações reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Jereissati Participações's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. Having said that, its ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Jereissati Participações's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Take risks, for example - Jereissati Participações has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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