Analysts Are Updating Their Moura Dubeux Engenharia S.A. (BVMF:MDNE3) Estimates After Its Yearly Results

It's been a good week for Moura Dubeux Engenharia S.A. (BVMF:MDNE3) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest full-year results, and the shares gained 4.8% to R$13.77. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of R$1.6b and statutory earnings per share of R$2.99. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Moura Dubeux Engenharia from four analysts is for revenues of R$1.72b in 2025. If met, it would imply a solid 9.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of R$1.72b and earnings per share (EPS) of R$3.16 in 2025. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.

View our latest analysis for Moura Dubeux Engenharia

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of R$19.62. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Moura Dubeux Engenharia analyst has a price target of R$20.60 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at R$18.50. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Moura Dubeux Engenharia's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Moura Dubeux Engenharia's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 9.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 28% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 6.7% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while Moura Dubeux Engenharia's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at R$19.62, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

We have estimates for Moura Dubeux Engenharia from its four analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Moura Dubeux Engenharia that you need to be mindful of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.