Stock Analysis

Here's What's Concerning About Suzano's (BVMF:SUZB3) Returns On Capital

BOVESPA:SUZB3
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Suzano (BVMF:SUZB3) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Suzano, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = R$9.9b ÷ (R$105b - R$9.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).

Therefore, Suzano has an ROCE of 10%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 6.2% generated by the Forestry industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Suzano

roce
BOVESPA:SUZB3 Return on Capital Employed June 27th 2021

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Suzano compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Suzano.

So How Is Suzano's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Suzano doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 14%, but since then they've fallen to 10%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

What We Can Learn From Suzano's ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Suzano is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 31% to shareholders over the last three years. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

Suzano does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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