Stock Analysis

Does GPC Participações (BVMF:GPCP3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:DEXP3
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, GPC Participações S.A. (BVMF:GPCP3) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for GPC Participações

How Much Debt Does GPC Participações Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that GPC Participações had debt of R$132.5m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from R$168.2m over a year. However, it also had R$46.3m in cash, and so its net debt is R$86.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:GPCP3 Debt to Equity History January 18th 2021

A Look At GPC Participações' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that GPC Participações had liabilities of R$217.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of R$310.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$46.3m in cash and R$192.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$289.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since GPC Participações has a market capitalization of R$804.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While GPC Participações's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.83 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.9 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Also relevant is that GPC Participações has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 30% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since GPC Participações will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, GPC Participações basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

On our analysis GPC Participações's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us cold feet. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about GPC Participações's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for GPC Participações that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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