Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Dexco S.A. (BVMF:DXCO3)?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 12, 2022
BOVESPA:DXCO3
Source: Shutterstock

It is hard to get excited after looking at Dexco's (BVMF:DXCO3) recent performance, when its stock has declined 11% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Dexco's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Dexco

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dexco is:

30% = R$1.7b ÷ R$5.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each R$1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made R$0.30 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Dexco's Earnings Growth And 30% ROE

To begin with, Dexco has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Further, even comparing with the industry average if 27%, the company's ROE is quite respectable. As a result, Dexco's remarkable 48% net income growth seen over the past 5 years is likely aided by its high ROE.

As a next step, we compared Dexco's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 52% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:DXCO3 Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2022

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Dexco fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Dexco Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Dexco has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 59%, meaning the company only retains 41% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Dexco has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 50% of its profits over the next three years. However, Dexco's future ROE is expected to decline to 16% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Dexco's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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