Aura Minerals Valuation

Is AURA33 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AURA33 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AURA33 (R$23.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$89.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AURA33 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AURA33?

Key metric: As AURA33 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AURA33. This is calculated by dividing AURA33's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AURA33's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.6x
SalesUS$546.97m
Market CapUS$841.83m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AURA33's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AURA33 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.6x
CBAV3 Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio
0.5x6.9%R$4.0b
USIM5 Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais
0.3x3.4%R$7.4b
FESA4 Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA
1.2xn/aR$3.2b
GOAU4 Metalurgica Gerdau
0.2xn/aR$11.7b
AURA33 Aura Minerals
1.6x14.8%R$1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AURA33 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AURA33's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AURA33 1.6xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AURA33 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AURA33's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AURA33 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AURA33 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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