Stock Analysis

Is Hapvida Participações e Investimentos (BVMF:HAPV3) A Risky Investment?

BOVESPA:HAPV3
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hapvida Participações e Investimentos S.A. (BVMF:HAPV3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hapvida Participações e Investimentos

How Much Debt Does Hapvida Participações e Investimentos Carry?

As you can see below, Hapvida Participações e Investimentos had R$11.0b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$5.43b, its net debt is less, at about R$5.53b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:HAPV3 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024

How Strong Is Hapvida Participações e Investimentos' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hapvida Participações e Investimentos had liabilities of R$8.49b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R$17.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of R$5.43b and R$2.33b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling R$17.9b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of R$28.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hapvida Participações e Investimentos' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hapvida Participações e Investimentos can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Hapvida Participações e Investimentos reported revenue of R$27b, which is a gain of 36%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Hapvida Participações e Investimentos still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost R$164m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of R$1.0b into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hapvida Participações e Investimentos .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hapvida Participações e Investimentos might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.