Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Marfrig Global Foods (BVMF:MRFG3) Is Using Debt Extensively

BOVESPA:MRFG3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Marfrig Global Foods S.A. (BVMF:MRFG3) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Marfrig Global Foods

What Is Marfrig Global Foods's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Marfrig Global Foods had R$32.9b of debt, an increase on R$29.2b, over one year. However, it does have R$11.1b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$21.8b.

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BOVESPA:MRFG3 Debt to Equity History June 26th 2022

How Healthy Is Marfrig Global Foods' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Marfrig Global Foods had liabilities of R$16.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of R$27.1b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$11.1b as well as receivables valued at R$5.17b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$27.2b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the R$8.45b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Marfrig Global Foods would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 1.4 times EBITDA, Marfrig Global Foods is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.7 times, which is more than adequate. On top of that, Marfrig Global Foods grew its EBIT by 67% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Marfrig Global Foods can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Marfrig Global Foods produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Marfrig Global Foods's level of total liabilities and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Marfrig Global Foods's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 4 warning signs with Marfrig Global Foods (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.