Stock Analysis

Marfrig Global Foods (BVMF:MRFG3) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Marfrig Global Foods S.A. (BVMF:MRFG3) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Marfrig Global Foods Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2025 Marfrig Global Foods had R$58.2b of debt, an increase on R$52.1b, over one year. However, it does have R$20.0b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$38.2b.

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BOVESPA:MRFG3 Debt to Equity History July 22nd 2025

How Strong Is Marfrig Global Foods' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Marfrig Global Foods had liabilities of R$41.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$74.3b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R$20.0b as well as receivables valued at R$12.4b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$83.0b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the R$19.6b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Marfrig Global Foods would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

See our latest analysis for Marfrig Global Foods

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Marfrig Global Foods's debt to EBITDA ratio (3.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Marfrig Global Foods actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 182%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Marfrig Global Foods's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Marfrig Global Foods actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

While Marfrig Global Foods's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Marfrig Global Foods's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Marfrig Global Foods (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.