Jalles Machado S/A Valuation

Is JALL3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JALL3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JALL3 (R$5.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$2.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JALL3 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JALL3?

Key metric: As JALL3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JALL3. This is calculated by dividing JALL3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JALL3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
EarningsR$114.57m
Market CapR$1.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JALL3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JALL3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.7x
CAML3 Camil Alimentos
5.6x11.9%R$2.6b
BAUH4 Excelsior Alimentos
16.5xn/aR$411.5m
MDIA3 M. Dias Branco Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos
9.4x15.3%R$7.7b
SMTO3 São Martinho
7.3x-2.5%R$8.4b
JALL3 Jalles Machado S/A
13.8x50.7%R$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JALL3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (9.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JALL3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JALL3 13.8xIndustry Avg. 9.8xNo. of Companies14PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JALL3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the South American Food industry average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JALL3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JALL3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio23.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JALL3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JALL3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$5.25
R$11.14
+112.2%
8.9%R$12.40R$10.00n/a7
Nov ’25R$5.96
R$11.14
+87.0%
8.9%R$12.40R$10.00n/a7
Oct ’25R$6.49
R$11.65
+79.5%
6.7%R$12.40R$10.00n/a6
Sep ’25R$6.72
R$11.65
+73.4%
6.7%R$12.40R$10.00n/a6
Aug ’25R$6.78
R$11.65
+71.8%
6.7%R$12.40R$10.00n/a6
Jul ’25R$7.47
R$11.82
+58.2%
7.1%R$12.50R$10.00n/a6
Jun ’25R$6.76
R$11.70
+73.1%
7.5%R$12.50R$10.00n/a5
May ’25R$7.06
R$11.70
+65.7%
7.5%R$12.50R$10.00n/a5
Apr ’25R$7.64
R$12.42
+62.5%
14.4%R$16.00R$10.00n/a6
Mar ’25R$7.50
R$12.25
+63.3%
16.6%R$16.00R$9.00n/a6
Feb ’25R$7.33
R$13.08
+78.5%
14.7%R$16.00R$11.00n/a6
Jan ’25R$7.84
R$13.08
+66.9%
14.7%R$16.00R$11.00n/a6
Dec ’24R$8.02
R$13.08
+63.1%
14.7%R$16.00R$11.00n/a6
Nov ’24R$8.45
R$12.20
+44.4%
16.7%R$16.00R$10.00R$5.965
Oct ’24R$8.56
R$11.37
+32.8%
23.2%R$16.00R$7.20R$6.496
Sep ’24R$8.55
R$11.48
+34.3%
24.2%R$16.00R$6.90R$6.726
Aug ’24R$8.32
R$11.48
+38.0%
24.2%R$16.00R$6.90R$6.786
Jul ’24R$7.52
R$11.48
+52.7%
24.2%R$16.00R$6.90R$7.476
Jun ’24R$7.90
R$11.78
+49.1%
25.1%R$16.00R$6.90R$6.765
May ’24R$7.86
R$11.98
+52.5%
22.9%R$16.00R$6.90R$7.066
Apr ’24R$6.76
R$12.05
+78.3%
21.7%R$16.00R$7.30R$7.646
Mar ’24R$7.50
R$12.05
+60.7%
21.7%R$16.00R$7.30R$7.506
Feb ’24R$7.42
R$11.20
+50.9%
23.1%R$16.00R$9.00R$7.336
Jan ’24R$7.64
R$12.24
+60.2%
26.0%R$16.00R$9.00R$7.847
Dec ’23R$7.66
R$12.39
+61.7%
25.4%R$16.00R$9.00R$8.027
Nov ’23R$7.37
R$13.07
+77.4%
22.1%R$16.00R$9.00R$8.457

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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