Camil Alimentos Valuation

Is CAML3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAML3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAML3 (R$7.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$26.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAML3 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAML3?

Key metric: As CAML3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CAML3. This is calculated by dividing CAML3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CAML3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.7x
EarningsR$446.71m
Market CapR$2.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CAML3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CAML3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.8x
JALL3 Jalles Machado S/A
13.4x50.4%R$1.6b
SMTO3 São Martinho
7.2x-2.3%R$8.2b
MDIA3 M. Dias Branco Indústria e Comércio de Alimentos
9.9x15.3%R$8.5b
BAUH4 Excelsior Alimentos
16.4xn/aR$411.2m
CAML3 Camil Alimentos
5.7x11.9%R$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CAML3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (11.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CAML3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Food Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CAML3 5.7xIndustry Avg. 10.1xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CAML3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the South American Food industry average (10.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAML3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAML3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio11.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CAML3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAML3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR$7.53
R$11.39
+51.2%
7.2%R$12.00R$9.50n/a8
Nov ’25R$7.79
R$11.39
+46.2%
7.2%R$12.00R$9.50n/a8
Oct ’25R$8.44
R$11.40
+35.1%
7.0%R$12.00R$9.60n/a8
Sep ’25R$9.53
R$11.45
+20.1%
6.0%R$12.00R$10.00n/a8
Aug ’25R$8.84
R$11.45
+29.5%
6.0%R$12.00R$10.00n/a8
Jul ’25R$8.33
R$11.45
+37.5%
6.0%R$12.00R$10.00n/a8
Jun ’25R$9.57
R$10.90
+13.9%
11.6%R$12.00R$8.30n/a7
May ’25R$8.39
R$10.90
+29.9%
11.6%R$12.00R$8.30n/a7
Apr ’25R$8.84
R$10.90
+23.3%
11.6%R$12.00R$8.30n/a7
Mar ’25R$8.69
R$10.72
+23.3%
11.9%R$12.00R$8.30n/a6
Feb ’25R$8.75
R$11.47
+31.1%
19.1%R$16.00R$8.30n/a7
Jan ’25R$8.45
R$11.37
+34.6%
20.6%R$16.00R$7.60n/a7
Dec ’24R$7.71
R$11.23
+45.6%
20.8%R$16.00R$7.60n/a7
Nov ’24R$6.99
R$11.09
+58.6%
22.0%R$16.00R$7.60R$7.797
Oct ’24R$7.69
R$11.09
+44.2%
22.0%R$16.00R$7.60R$8.447
Sep ’24R$8.34
R$11.09
+32.9%
22.0%R$16.00R$7.60R$9.537
Aug ’24R$7.22
R$10.80
+49.6%
23.5%R$16.00R$7.60R$8.847
Jul ’24R$7.06
R$11.37
+61.1%
22.2%R$16.00R$7.60R$8.337
Jun ’24R$7.04
R$11.86
+68.4%
17.1%R$16.00R$9.00R$9.577
May ’24R$7.20
R$12.14
+68.7%
16.7%R$16.00R$9.00R$8.397
Apr ’24R$6.80
R$12.33
+81.4%
17.3%R$16.00R$9.00R$8.846
Mar ’24R$7.78
R$13.23
+70.0%
11.5%R$16.00R$11.00R$8.697
Feb ’24R$8.29
R$13.23
+59.6%
11.5%R$16.00R$11.00R$8.757
Jan ’24R$8.28
R$13.76
+66.1%
20.6%R$20.00R$11.00R$8.457
Dec ’23R$8.88
R$13.76
+54.9%
20.6%R$20.00R$11.00R$7.717
Nov ’23R$10.17
R$13.71
+34.9%
20.7%R$20.00R$11.00R$6.997

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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