Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão (BVMF:B3SA3)

BOVESPA:B3SA3
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When close to half the companies in Brazil have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider B3 S.A. - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão (BVMF:B3SA3) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 15.3x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:B3SA3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 1.9%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 12% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcão might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.