Stock Analysis

In the wake of Yduqs Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:YDUQ3) latest R$422m market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions

Published
BOVESPA:YDUQ3

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Yduqs Participações' stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 6 investors have a majority stake in the company with 53% ownership
  • 12% of Yduqs Participações is held by insiders

Every investor in Yduqs Participações S.A. (BVMF:YDUQ3) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 63% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And so it follows that institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to R$2.6b last week after a 14% drop in the share price. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 54% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the downtrend continues, institutions may face pressures to sell Yduqs Participações, which might have negative implications on individual investors.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Yduqs Participações.

View our latest analysis for Yduqs Participações

BOVESPA:YDUQ3 Ownership Breakdown December 3rd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Yduqs Participações?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that Yduqs Participações does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Yduqs Participações' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

BOVESPA:YDUQ3 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 3rd 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Yduqs Participações. The company's largest shareholder is BRL Trust Investimentos Ltda., with ownership of 15%. With 12% and 9.3% of the shares outstanding respectively, Chaim Zaher and BTG Pactual Asset Management SA Distribuidora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários are the second and third largest shareholders.

We did some more digging and found that 6 of the top shareholders account for roughly 53% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Yduqs Participações

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own a reasonable proportion of Yduqs Participações S.A.. Insiders have a R$308m stake in this R$2.6b business. We would say this shows alignment with shareholders, but it is worth noting that the company is still quite small; some insiders may have founded the business. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 10% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Private Equity Ownership

With a stake of 15%, private equity firms could influence the Yduqs Participações board. Some investors might be encouraged by this, since private equity are sometimes able to encourage strategies that help the market see the value in the company. Alternatively, those holders might be exiting the investment after taking it public.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Yduqs Participações you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.