Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

BOVESPA:R1CL34 Stock Report

Market Cap: R$360.8b

Royal Caribbean Cruises Valuation

Is R1CL34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of R1CL34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: R1CL34 (R$674.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (R$1462.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: R1CL34 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for R1CL34?

Key metric: As R1CL34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for R1CL34. This is calculated by dividing R1CL34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is R1CL34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.9x
EarningsUS$2.60b
Market CapUS$62.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does R1CL34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for R1CL34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
CCL Carnival Corporation &
20.2x19.8%US$31.2b
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
51.5x17.6%US$60.6b
TCOM Trip.com Group
19.9x10.7%US$38.7b
MAR Marriott International
28x8.4%US$77.5b
R1CL34 Royal Caribbean Cruises
23.9x18.9%R$62.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: R1CL34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the peer average (29.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does R1CL34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Hospitality Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
R1CL34 23.9xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: R1CL34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the South American Hospitality industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is R1CL34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

R1CL34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.9x
Fair PE Ratio47.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: R1CL34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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