Stock Analysis

Vivara Participações (BVMF:VIVA3) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

BOVESPA:VIVA3
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at Vivara Participações (BVMF:VIVA3), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Vivara Participações is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.17 = R$384m ÷ (R$2.9b - R$726m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Vivara Participações has an ROCE of 17%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Luxury industry average of 11% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Vivara Participações

roce
BOVESPA:VIVA3 Return on Capital Employed April 6th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Vivara Participações compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Vivara Participações

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Luxury market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Brazilian market.
Threat
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Vivara Participações Tell Us?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Vivara Participações, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 38%, but since then they've fallen to 17%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Vivara Participações has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 25% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

Our Take On Vivara Participações' ROCE

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Vivara Participações. Furthermore the stock has climbed 33% over the last three years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

On a separate note, we've found 1 warning sign for Vivara Participações you'll probably want to know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.