Stock Analysis

Does PBG (BVMF:PTBL3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:PTBL3
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that PBG S.A. (BVMF:PTBL3) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for PBG

What Is PBG's Debt?

As you can see below, PBG had R$1.19b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has R$181.0m in cash leading to net debt of about R$1.01b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:PTBL3 Debt to Equity History February 18th 2025

A Look At PBG's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that PBG had liabilities of R$1.34b due within a year, and liabilities of R$1.51b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R$181.0m in cash and R$354.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by R$2.32b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the R$520.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, PBG would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 1.1 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.2 hit our confidence in PBG like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that PBG's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since PBG will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, PBG burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both PBG's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like PBG has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that PBG is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.