Metalfrio Solutions S.A. (BVMF:FRIO3) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Metalfrio Solutions S.A. (BVMF:FRIO3) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 1,086% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Metalfrio Solutions' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Machinery industry in Brazil, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Metalfrio Solutions

What Does Metalfrio Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Metalfrio Solutions' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Metalfrio Solutions, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Metalfrio Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?

Metalfrio Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.1%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 35% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Metalfrio Solutions is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Metalfrio Solutions' P/S?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Metalfrio Solutions' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Metalfrio Solutions revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Having said that, be aware Metalfrio Solutions is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.