Caterpillar Valuation

Is CATP34 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CATP34 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CATP34 (R$138.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (R$75.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CATP34 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CATP34?

Key metric: As CATP34 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CATP34. This is calculated by dividing CATP34's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CATP34's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.4x
EarningsUS$10.68b
Market CapUS$185.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CATP34's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CATP34 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
POMO4 Marcopolo
9.3x5.5%R$9.7b
RAPT4 Randon Implementos e Participações
10x28.6%R$3.3b
TUPY3 Tupy
9.4x35.2%R$3.2b
37.2x13.8%R$228.0b
CATP34 Caterpillar
17.4x-0.08%R$185.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CATP34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CATP34's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Machinery Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CATP34 17.4xIndustry Avg. 21.3xNo. of Companies196PE01632486480+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CATP34 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the Global Machinery industry average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CATP34's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CATP34 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CATP34 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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