Stock Analysis

Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg S.A. (BVMF:CALI3) Stock Rockets 31% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

BOVESPA:CALI3
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Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg S.A. (BVMF:CALI3) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The annual gain comes to 171% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Brazil is similar at about 10x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:CALI3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 149% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's curious that Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg's P/E is also back up to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Construtora Adolpho Lindenberg (at least 2 which are significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.