Stock Analysis

Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) Looks Like A Good Stock, And It's Going Ex-Dividend Soon

BOVESPA:TUPY3
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Tupy S.A. (BVMF:TUPY3) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 3 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Accordingly, Tupy investors that purchase the stock on or after the 20th of August will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 26th of August.

The company's upcoming dividend is R$0.12 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of R$0.54 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Tupy has a trailing yield of 2.4% on the current stock price of R$22.31. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Tupy can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

See our latest analysis for Tupy

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Tupy has a low and conservative payout ratio of just 8.5% of its income after tax. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Tupy generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. The good news is it paid out just 0.02% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's encouraging to see that the dividend is covered by both profit and cash flow. This generally suggests the dividend is sustainable, as long as earnings don't drop precipitously.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:TUPY3 Historic Dividend August 16th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies that aren't growing their earnings can still be valuable, but it is even more important to assess the sustainability of the dividend if it looks like the company will struggle to grow. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. It's not encouraging to see that Tupy's earnings are effectively flat over the past five years. Better than seeing them fall off a cliff, for sure, but the best dividend stocks grow their earnings meaningfully over the long run. Growth has been anaemic. Yet with more than 75% of its earnings being kept in the business, there is ample room to reinvest in growth or lift the payout ratio - either of which could increase the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Tupy's dividend payments are broadly unchanged compared to where they were 10 years ago.

To Sum It Up

Should investors buy Tupy for the upcoming dividend? The company has barely grown earnings per share over this time, but at least it's paying out a decently low percentage of its earnings and cashflow as dividends. This could suggest management is reinvesting in future growth opportunities. We would prefer to see earnings growing faster, but the best dividend stocks over the long term typically combine strong earnings per share growth with a low payout ratio, and Tupy is halfway there. Tupy looks solid on this analysis overall, and we'd definitely consider investigating it more closely.

On that note, you'll want to research what risks Tupy is facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Tupy that we strongly recommend you have a look at before investing in the company.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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