CSX Valuation

Is CXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CXR (€30.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CXR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CXR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CXR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.5x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CXR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
CNR Canadian National Railway
18.6x4.3%CA$102.8b
CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City
25.9x9.2%CA$101.9b
NSC Norfolk Southern
33.6x22.6%US$48.0b
601816 Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway
21.3x11.3%CN¥262.2b
CXR CSX
17.8x5.1%€64.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CXR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CXR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CXR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CXR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CXR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CXR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€30.82
€36.46
+18.3%
7.7%€41.20€28.09n/a25
Jun ’25€30.58
€36.26
+18.6%
7.9%€40.47€27.59n/a25
May ’25€31.33
€36.85
+17.6%
7.7%€41.04€27.98n/a27
Apr ’25€34.04
€36.24
+6.5%
8.0%€42.83€27.93n/a26
Mar ’25€34.96
€35.26
+0.9%
7.6%€38.96€27.83n/a27
Feb ’25€33.08
€34.68
+4.8%
7.8%€38.74€27.67n/a27
Jan ’25€31.44
€32.48
+3.3%
9.7%€37.82€22.51n/a26
Dec ’24€30.28
€32.77
+8.2%
9.4%€38.33€22.82n/a26
Nov ’24€28.10
€33.93
+20.8%
9.5%€39.56€23.55n/a26
Oct ’24€29.35
€34.24
+16.7%
9.2%€39.73€23.65n/a26
Sep ’24€28.27
€33.15
+17.3%
8.5%€36.87€23.04n/a27
Aug ’24€30.32
€32.94
+8.7%
8.0%€36.38€22.74n/a27
Jul ’24€31.01
€32.08
+3.4%
7.7%€36.41€23.67n/a27
Jun ’24€29.00
€32.65
+12.6%
7.9%€37.18€24.16€30.5827
May ’24€27.95
€31.71
+13.5%
8.1%€36.46€23.70€31.3326
Apr ’24€27.10
€31.12
+14.8%
8.4%€35.76€22.01€34.0426
Mar ’24€28.70
€32.01
+11.5%
8.3%€36.58€22.51€34.9626
Feb ’24€28.30
€31.37
+10.9%
8.2%€35.81€22.04€33.0827
Jan ’24€29.10
€31.41
+7.9%
10.3%€36.73€21.66€31.4427
Dec ’23€31.30
€31.96
+2.1%
10.5%€37.77€22.28€30.2826
Nov ’23n/a
€32.81
0%
9.4%€38.13€23.08€28.1026
Oct ’23n/a
€35.39
0%
10.3%€41.84€25.51€29.3525
Sep ’23n/a
€34.76
0%
9.9%€39.94€24.35€28.2725
Aug ’23n/a
€34.80
0%
9.5%€40.17€24.50€30.3225
Jul ’23n/a
€36.83
0%
9.9%€43.09€23.94€31.0126
Jun ’23n/a
€36.41
0%
9.9%€41.93€23.29€29.0025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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