The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Petrol AD (BUL:PET) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Petrol AD
How Much Debt Does Petrol AD Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Petrol AD had лв43.0m of debt in September 2021, down from лв46.4m, one year before. However, it also had лв2.97m in cash, and so its net debt is лв40.1m.
A Look At Petrol AD's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Petrol AD had liabilities of лв86.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of лв44.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had лв2.97m in cash and лв58.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total лв68.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the лв8.19m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Petrol AD would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Petrol AD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Petrol AD wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 8.8%, to лв466m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Petrol AD produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping лв1.5m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost лв2.1m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Petrol AD you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BUL:PET
Petrol AD
Engages in the processing, storage, wholesale, and retail sale of petroleum products and derivatives in Bulgaria.
Slight and slightly overvalued.