The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Himsnab Bulgaria AD (BUL:58E) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Himsnab Bulgaria AD
How Much Debt Does Himsnab Bulgaria AD Carry?
As you can see below, Himsnab Bulgaria AD had лв27.5m of debt, at June 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had лв11.3m in cash, and so its net debt is лв16.2m.
How Healthy Is Himsnab Bulgaria AD's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Himsnab Bulgaria AD had liabilities of лв47.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of лв26.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of лв11.3m and лв73.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has лв11.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Himsnab Bulgaria AD has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Himsnab Bulgaria AD has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even worse, Himsnab Bulgaria AD saw its EBIT tank 37% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Himsnab Bulgaria AD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Himsnab Bulgaria AD actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
We weren't impressed with Himsnab Bulgaria AD's net debt to EBITDA, and its EBIT growth rate made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble converting EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Himsnab Bulgaria AD's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Himsnab Bulgaria AD (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About BUL:CHSB
Himsnab Bulgaria AD
Engages in the real estate leasing business in Bulgaria and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.