Allstate Valuation
Is ALS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of ALS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: ALS (€159.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€369.74)
Significantly Below Fair Value: ALS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALS?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is ALS's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | US$45.58b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.9x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 20x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.8x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does ALS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 12.8x | ||
TRV Travelers Companies | 16.1x | 11.7% | US$50.0b |
8766 Tokio Marine Holdings | 16.1x | 6.0% | JP¥10.0t |
ACGL Arch Capital Group | 7.8x | -11.4% | US$37.4b |
HIG Hartford Financial Services Group | 11.2x | 8.4% | US$30.1b |
ALS Allstate | 37.4x | 21.2% | €45.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does ALS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is ALS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 37.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €159.28 | €172.85 +8.5% | 11.6% | €197.71 | €120.67 | n/a | 18 |
| May ’25 | €157.85 | €168.55 +6.8% | 12.1% | €192.67 | €121.59 | n/a | 19 |
| Apr ’25 | €160.50 | €164.00 +2.2% | 12.5% | €194.58 | €113.58 | n/a | 19 |
| Mar ’25 | €145.50 | €156.78 +7.8% | 11.7% | €180.87 | €112.58 | n/a | 19 |
| Feb ’25 | €142.50 | €148.57 +4.3% | 12.3% | €177.35 | €102.92 | n/a | 19 |
| Jan ’25 | €126.50 | €128.82 +1.8% | 10.9% | €148.58 | €95.45 | n/a | 18 |
| Dec ’24 | €126.50 | €127.13 +0.5% | 11.5% | €146.69 | €97.18 | n/a | 17 |
| Nov ’24 | €123.50 | €123.82 +0.3% | 12.3% | €147.62 | €94.63 | n/a | 17 |
| Oct ’24 | €105.50 | €120.10 +13.8% | 11.5% | €144.21 | €93.64 | n/a | 17 |
| Sep ’24 | €101.50 | €116.55 +14.8% | 11.9% | €140.68 | €91.35 | n/a | 17 |
| Aug ’24 | €102.50 | €118.10 +15.2% | 13.2% | €147.50 | €91.05 | n/a | 17 |
| Jul ’24 | €99.75 | €122.18 +22.5% | 11.6% | €143.22 | €91.22 | n/a | 16 |
| Jun ’24 | €99.50 | €128.00 +28.6% | 11.4% | €146.90 | €93.57 | n/a | 15 |
| May ’24 | €105.50 | €127.66 +21.0% | 13.0% | €160.56 | €91.23 | €157.85 | 16 |
| Apr ’24 | €101.50 | €130.53 +28.6% | 12.2% | €162.36 | €95.94 | €160.50 | 16 |
| Mar ’24 | €120.50 | €134.58 +11.7% | 11.9% | €164.28 | €97.07 | €145.50 | 16 |
| Feb ’24 | €116.50 | €132.51 +13.7% | 11.8% | €160.21 | €95.58 | €142.50 | 16 |
| Jan ’24 | €127.00 | €134.08 +5.6% | 13.5% | €176.93 | €94.11 | €126.50 | 15 |
| Dec ’23 | €125.50 | €137.45 +9.5% | 13.0% | €182.45 | €97.05 | €126.50 | 16 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | €141.62 0% | 13.9% | €190.43 | €101.29 | €123.50 | 16 |
| Oct ’23 | n/a | €141.83 0% | 13.0% | €187.29 | €109.58 | €105.50 | 16 |
| Sep ’23 | n/a | €141.83 0% | 13.0% | €187.29 | €109.58 | €101.50 | 16 |
| Aug ’23 | n/a | €140.31 0% | 13.0% | €184.54 | €107.98 | €102.50 | 16 |
| Jul ’23 | n/a | €138.20 0% | 12.1% | €177.89 | €111.65 | €99.75 | 17 |
| Jun ’23 | n/a | €135.97 0% | 12.3% | €175.16 | €108.08 | €99.50 | 17 |
| May ’23 | n/a | €139.80 0% | 12.5% | €178.94 | €110.41 | €105.50 | 16 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.