While bpost NV/SA (EBR:BPOST) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ENXTBR over the last few months, increasing to €6.20 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €4.74. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether bpost/SA's current trading price of €5.15 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at bpost/SA’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Check out our latest analysis for bpost/SA
What's The Opportunity In bpost/SA?
Good news, investors! bpost/SA is still a bargain right now according to my price multiple model, which compares the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 4.36x is currently well-below the industry average of 10.1x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because bpost/SA’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What does the future of bpost/SA look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of bpost/SA, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -15%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although BPOST is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to BPOST, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BPOST for a while, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
If you'd like to know more about bpost/SA as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for bpost/SA (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTBR:BPOST
bpost/SA
Provides mail and parcel services to individuals, businesses, and public institutions in Belgium, rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally.
Fair value second-rate dividend payer.