Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Lotus Bakeries NV (EBR:LOTB) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Lotus Bakeries's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Lotus Bakeries had €261.0m in debt in June 2025; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €58.4m, its net debt is less, at about €202.6m.
A Look At Lotus Bakeries' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Lotus Bakeries had liabilities of €360.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €260.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €58.4m in cash and €187.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €374.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Lotus Bakeries has a market capitalization of €6.60b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
See our latest analysis for Lotus Bakeries
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Lotus Bakeries has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.81. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 242 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Lotus Bakeries grew its EBIT by 14% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lotus Bakeries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Lotus Bakeries recorded free cash flow of 32% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Happily, Lotus Bakeries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Lotus Bakeries is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Lotus Bakeries, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTBR:LOTB
Lotus Bakeries
Provides various snack products in Belgium and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.
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