Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.

ENXTBR:BBV Stock Report

Market Cap: €45.8b

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria Valuation

Is BBV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BBV (€7.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BBV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBV?

Key metric: As BBV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BBV. This is calculated by dividing BBV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BBV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.6x
Earnings€7.03b
Market Cap€45.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BBV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BBV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.3x
KBC KBC Group
9.4x1.5%€27.2b
017250539 BNP Paribas Fortis
5.7xn/a€16.5b
KBCA KBC Ancora
9.9x3.2%€3.6b
009789111 BGL BNP Paribas
4.3xn/a€2.5b
BBV Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria
6.6x-0.9%€45.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the peer average (8.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BBV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BBV 6.6xIndustry Avg. 7.4xNo. of Companies46PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.6x
Fair PE Ratio8.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BBV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Nov ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Oct ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Sep ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Aug ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Jul ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Jun ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
May ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Apr ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Mar ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Feb ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Jan ’25n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Dec ’24n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Nov ’24n/a
€8.93
0%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Oct ’24€7.80
€8.93
+14.4%
9.9%€10.50€7.10n/a24
Sep ’24€7.47
€8.81
+17.9%
9.8%€10.30€7.10n/a25
Aug ’24€7.29
€8.66
+18.7%
9.5%€10.30€7.10n/a25
Jul ’24€7.04
€8.48
+20.5%
9.3%€10.00€6.90n/a24
Jun ’24€6.17
€8.31
+34.7%
12.5%€10.00€6.00n/a23
May ’24€6.73
€8.12
+20.6%
11.9%€9.80€6.00n/a22
Apr ’24€6.69
€7.86
+17.5%
11.9%€9.30€6.00n/a22
Mar ’24€7.41
€7.71
+4.0%
11.2%€9.20€6.00n/a21
Feb ’24€6.74
€7.22
+7.2%
12.8%€9.00€5.50n/a21
Jan ’24€5.30
€6.97
+31.4%
10.6%€8.50€5.50n/a22
Dec ’23€5.63
€6.89
+22.3%
11.4%€8.50€5.50n/a22
Nov ’23€5.29
€6.77
+28.1%
10.9%€8.00€5.50n/a21

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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