Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited (ASX:LPE), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ASX, rising to highs of AU$0.18 and falling to the lows of AU$0.13. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Locality Planning Energy Holdings' current trading price of AU$0.13 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Locality Planning Energy Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What is Locality Planning Energy Holdings worth?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Locality Planning Energy Holdings’s ratio of 13.16x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 13.36x, which means if you buy Locality Planning Energy Holdings today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Locality Planning Energy Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Locality Planning Energy Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Locality Planning Energy Holdings generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Locality Planning Energy Holdings, at least in the near future.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Currently, LPE appears to be trading around industry price multiples, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on LPE, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on LPE for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. This means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help gel your views on LPE should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio.
Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 6 warning signs for Locality Planning Energy Holdings (4 make us uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Locality Planning Energy Holdings
Locality Planning Energy Holdings Limited provides electricity and utility services to residential and commercial customers throughout the Australian National Electricity Market.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.