Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Fluence Corporation Limited's (ASX:FLC) Revenues

ASX:FLC
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Fluence Corporation Limited's (ASX:FLC) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Water Utilities industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.9x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Fluence

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:FLC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2024

What Does Fluence's Recent Performance Look Like?

Fluence hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fluence.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Fluence's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per annum as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.5% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Fluence's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Fluence's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To us, it seems Fluence currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Fluence (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.